January 8, 2008
As Jason reports, Obama has come out with a clear lead in the first two towns in New Hampshire to report their results. He’s beaten Clinton by 9 votes to 3 in one, and Edwards by 7 votes to 2 in the other. On the Republican side, McCain has taken the towns, though by a smaller margin, beating Romney by 4 votes to 2 in the first town. It’s even closer in the second town, where he just won by 6 votes to Huckabee’s 5 – and Ron Paul in third place with 4 votes! Hopefully a good sign of things to come.
January 7, 2008
Living in Tanzania, I’m frequently able to talk with refugees that are constantly streaming into the country from Kenya. Something that I have repeatedly heard from many refugees here is that the actual death toll in Kenya is at least 1000. The official government figure is 486, but the Kenyan police have stated that there are at least 600 dead, with more bodies still hidden in bushes. Furthermore, according to refugees that I’ve met, there are areas in the deep slums which the police have barely set foot in since Kibaki stole the election: these areas house scores of bodies. From listening to the refugees, it seems that 1000 killed is a conservative figure – and the death toll looks set to rise even more, considering that the Kenyan army has been sent into Kibera to quell unrest (i.e. kill people).
There’s really nothing left to add to this that I haven’t said before. Odinga has had to call off his nationwide protests scheduled for tomorrow because of this violence; protests that he has every right to hold. (At least protests can still be held in the UK).
There may not be much left to write about this, but first-hand photos can tell the story in greater depth – here’s another good blog to find some pictures.
January 6, 2008
Very short post today, but you might want to read this. Here’s a tidbit of news that the media have kept away from. The full article, linked to, is a very good read and I recommend it to everyone.
Read the rest of this entry »
January 5, 2008
With 58% of precincts reporting, Mitt Romney has all but won the Wyoming GOP Caucuses – he has received the support of 75% of the state with 67% of the precincts reporting. Duncan Hunter and Fred Thompson each have 13% support. Even if the rest of the state unanimously supports Fred Thompson, Romney will still win (by my calculations – I give no guarantee that these are correct).
I’m slightly relieved here – while he isn’t what I’d consider a ‘good candidate’, well, as long as Huckabee doesn’t win.
January 5, 2008
Although the crisis in Kenya is probably not over, tensions have cools and violence has eased. Mr Odinga has realised that he will not get justice in Kenya, and possibly the best he can hope for is a revote – if properly monitored, this could easily go his way. However, the chances of that are slim as long as the government rejects any and all outside help – as seen in this article.
The country, however, will not be the same. Tribal tensions are now out in the open, and many Kikuyus who have fled may not have plans to return. Tensions have yet to subside completely in major cities and slums, but people are trying to get back to normal life. However, violence still abounds, as can be seen from Ory Okolloh’s account of his trip to the airport.
The government is not making a return to peace any easier. As long as they continue to block demonstrations, (as pictured) protesters will simply seek another – less peaceful – outlet to release their tensions. And if the government continues to prevent outside forces from mediating, (since they support Odinga) then they may lose precious donor aid, threatening the economy even further. (For more pictures, try this blog).
The main concern at this stage is that of genocide erupting. Tribal tensions are strong and out in the open, and Genocide Watch has placed Kenya on a Stage 6 – the last stage before genocide erupting.
For more information, here’s a list of blogs that are covering the situation in Kenya.
January 4, 2008
As can be read here, Kibaki has taken an even more audacious step (as if inventing voters to steal the worst-rigged election ever wasn’t bad enough) and called for peace – specifically, for Kenyans to ‘remain calm’. He has also ruled out talks with Odinga until Kenya is ‘calm’.
Let’s take a look at this statement. What would remaining calm mean here? Remaining calm would mean accepting Kibaki’s blatant election fraud. Remaining calm would mean giving up the fight for democratic rights. Remaining calm would mean forgetting everything that democracy means. Fitting that Kibaki will not hold talks with Odinga until Kenya is calm, since both actions would indicate an acceptance of the election fraud.
So let there be no calm until Odinga, the rightful president of Kenya, is sworn in. When democracy fails, as it has, the only way to engage in the pursuit of justice is through force.
Oh yes, and even more audacious (if that’s possible) is Kibaki’s claim in the same article that the opposition is ‘fomenting violence’ in Kenya. There is only ongoing violence in Kenya because of Kibaki’s blatant fraud. So Kibaki, you are wrong on all counts – it is you who has started the violence in Kenya.
And, through your childish stubborness, it is also you who may lead to the continuation of violence in Kenya. This excellent blog post shows how blocking Thursday’s, (and Friday’s) opposition rally will only lead to greater tensions. How can there be dialogue and peace when Kibaki wont even allow Odinga’s support to gather in a peaceful manner to relieve their tensions? There cannot be. Kibaki, you are a monster blinded by your own power, and you’re sucking the life out of Kenya.
Save Kenya: tell Kibaki to step down now.